Tony E. Smith

Professor of Systems Engineering and Regional Science
Department of Electrical and Systems Engineering
University of Pennsylvania
Philadelphia, PA 19104

E-Mail: tesmith@seas.upenn.edu

Campus addresses

Towne Building: 250 Towne, 6315
Phone: 898-9647

Research Interests

Primary area of research is in the theory and application of probabilistic models to spatial interaction behavior. Specific interests focus on structural analysis and axiomatic foundations of such models. Related areas of interest are in probabilistic theories of choice behavior, spatial statistical analysis and GIS.

A secondary area of research is in transportation and land use modeling. Specific interests focus on network equilibrium models of traffic flows and general equilibrium models of urban land use.

Books

• Gravity Models of Spatial Interaction Behavior (1995) [with Ashish Sen], Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
• NoteBook on Spatial Data Analysis (2014)

Recent Papers

• A hierarchical approach to scalable Gaussian process regression for spatial data (2021), [with Jacob Dearmon], Journal of Spatial Econometrics, 2(1), 1-33. .
• Localized Knowledge Spillovers: Evidence from the Spatial Clustering of R&D Labs and Patent Citations (2020), [with Kristy Buzard, Gerald A. Carlino, Robert M. Hunt, and Jake K. Carr], Regional Science and Urban Economics, Vol.81 Article 103490 .
• How income inequality influenced personal decisions on disaster preparedness: A multilevel analysis of homeowners insurance among Hurricane Maria victims in Puerto Rico (2020), [with Chenyi Ma and Amy C. Baker], International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 53 (101953) .
• Mental illness prevalence and disparities among Hurricane Sandy survivors: a 2-year retrospective (2020), [with Chenyi Ma and Roberta R. Iversen], Disaster medicine and public health preparedness (2020): 1-10. .
• Cities and Space: Common Power Laws and Spatial Fractal Structures (2020), [with Tomoya Mori and Wen-Tai Hsu], Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1913014117.
• Vulnerability of Renters and Low-Income Households to Storm Damage: Evidence from Hurricane Maria in Puerto Rico (2020), [with Chenyi Ma], American Journal of Public Health 110(2): 196-202 .
• Discrete Choice Model of Food Store Trips Using National Household Food Acquisition and Purchase Survey (FoodAPS) (2017), [with Amy Hillier, Eliza D. Whiteman, and Benjamin W. Chrisinger], International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 14, 1133, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14101133.
• The Agglomeration of American R&D Labs (2017), [with Gerald A. Carlino, Robert M. Hunt, Jake K. Carr and Kristy Buzard], Journal of Urban Economics, Vol.101, pp. 14-26.
• Local Marginal Analysis of Spatial Data: A Gaussian Process Regression Approach with Bayesian Model and Kernel Averaging (2017), [with Jacob Dearmon], Spatial Econometrics, Vol.37, ed. Batalgie, et al., pp. 297-342.
• Gaussian Process Regression and Bayesian Model Averaging: An alternative approach to modeling spatial phenomena (2016), [with Jacob Dearmon], Geographical Analysis, 48:82:111
• Geographic Distribution of Insufficient Sleep across the US: A County-Level Hotspot Analysis (2015), [with Michael A. Grandner, Nickolas Jackson, Tara Jackson, Sarah Burgard, and Charles Branas] (Submitted to Sleep Health)
• A Discrete-Choice Approach to Modeling Food Shopping Behavior (2015), [with Amy Hillier, Carolyn Cannuscio, Allison Karpyn and Karen Glanz (Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, volume 42, pages 263–278).
• Increased alcohol use after Hurricane Ike: The roles of perceived social cohesion and social control (2017), [with Chenyi Ma], Social Science & Medicine, 2017, vol. 190, issue C, 29-37 .
• Spatial Patterns and Size Distributions of Cities (2014), [with Tomoya Mori and Wen-Tai Hsu]
• A Probabilisitic Modeling Approach to the Detection of Industrial Agglomerations  (2014), [with Tomoya Mori] Journal of Economic Geography, 14: 547-588.
• Location-Dominant Housing Markets: Evidence from Beijing (2013), [with Dafeng Xu] Urban Research eJournal, Vol.3, No.9 (Jan. 31, 2014)
• The Effects of Spatial Autoregressive Dependencies on Inference in OLS: A Geometric Approach (2012), [with Ka Lok Lee] Journal of Geographical Systems, 14:91-124.
• Segregation That No One Seeks (2012), [with Ryan Muldoon and Michael Weisberg] Philosophy of Science, 79: 38-62.
• An Industrial Agglomeration Approach to Central Place and City Size Regularities   (2011), [with Tomoya Mori] Journal of Regional Science, 51: 694-731.
• A Spatial Modeling Framework for Analyzing Potential Earthquake Damage: an Application to Memphis (2010), [with Richard L. Bernknopf and Anne Wein]
• Assessing Geographical Clustering of Outpatient Psychiatric Service Utilization  in Philadelphia   (2010), [with Naoru Koizumi,Aileen Rothbard, Patel Amit, and Noll Liz]
• Clustering of Unhealthy Outdoor Advertisements around Child-Serving Institutions: A Comparison of Three Cities   (2009), [with Amy Hillier, et al.] Health & Place, 15:935-945.
• A Spatio-Temporal Model of Housing Prices based on Individual Sales Transactions (2009), [with P. Wu], Journal of Geographical Systems, 11:333-355.
• Estimation Bias in Spatial Models with Strongly Connected Weight Matrices   (2009), Geographical Analysis, 41:307-332.
• Alternative Financial Service Providers and the Spatial Void Hypothesis  (2007), [with Marvin M. Smith and John Wackes.] Regional Science and Urban Economics, 38: 205-227.
• Small Area Clustering of Cases of Pneumococcal Bacteremia  (2007), [with Joshua Metlay et al.] submitted to Epidemiology.
• Transportation Activity Centers for Urban Transportation Analysis (2006), [with Jeffrey Casello] Journal of Urban Planning and Development, 132: 247-257.                .
• A Divergence Statistic for Industrial Location (2005), [with Tomoya Mori and Koji Nishikimi] Review of Economics and Statistics., 87: 635-651.
• Modeling Patient Flows using a Queuing Network with Blocking (2005), [with Naoru Koizumi and Eri Kuno] Health Care Management Science, 8: 49-61.
  
• A Scale-Sensitive Test of Attraction and Repulsion between Spatial Point Patterns (2004), Geographical Analysis, 36:315-331.
  
• A Spatial Mixture Model of Innovation Diffusion  (2004) [with Sanyoung Song] Geographical Analysis, 36: 199-145.
• A Bayesian Probit Model with Spatial Dependencies (2004) [with James P. LeSage] Spatial and Spatiotemproal Econometrics, edited by J.P. LeSage and R.K. Pace, Elsevier: Amsterdam.
  
• Aggregation Bias in Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of Spatial Autoregressive Processes (2004) Spatial Econometrics and Spatial Statistics, edited by A.Getis, J. Mur and H. Zoller, MacMillan: New York, , pp. 53-88.
• Spatial Mismatch, Search Effort and Urban Spatial Structure (2003).
• Some Empirical Regularities of Spatial Economies: A Relationship between Industrial Location and City Size (2003).

Other Selected Articles

• A Discrete-Time Stochastic Model of Job Matching, (2003) [with Y. Zenou], Review of Economic Dynamics, 6: 54-79.
• Predicting Housing Abandonment with the Philadelphia Neighborhood Information System”, (2002) [with A.E. Hillier, D.P. Culhane, and C.D. Tomlin],  Journal of Urban Affairs, 25(1): 91-105
• Multi-Region Contact System for Modeling STD Epidemics, (2000) [with Richard Thomas] Statistics and Medicine, 19: 2479-2491.
• Optimal Search on Spatial Paths with Recall with Recall, Part II: Computational Procedures and Examples, (2000) [with Mitchell Harwitz, et al.] Papers in Regional Science: Journal of the RSAI, 79:293-305.
• A Spatial Production Model for Analysis of the American Farming Frontier, (1999) [with Robert Douglas] forthcoming in Advances in Location Theory, Ronald Miller (ed.).
• Optimal Search on Spatial Paths with Recall with Recall, Part I: Theoretical Foundations, (1998) [with Mitchell Harwitz, et al.] Papers in Regional Science: Journal of the RSAI, 77:301-327.
• Gravity-Type Interactive Markov Models, (1997) [with Shang-Hsing Hsieh] Journal of Regional Science, 37:653-708.
  
• Dual Labor Markets, Urban Unemployment, and Multicentric Cities, (1997) [with Yves Zenou] Journal of Economic Theory, 76:185-214.
  
• On the Foundations of Land Use Theory: Discrete versus Continuous Populations , (1990) [with Yasushi Asami and M. Fujita] Regional Science and Urban Economics, 20:473-508.
  
• General Representation Theorems for Efficient Population Behavior (1990) [with Sven Erlander] Applied Mathematics and Computation, 36:173-217.
  
• Cost-Efficiency Theory of Dispersed Network Equilibria (1988) Environment and Planning A, 20:231-266.