Tony E. Smith
Professor of Systems Engineering and Regional Science
Electrical and Systems Engineering
University of Pennsylvania
Philadelphia, PA 19104
Towne Building: 250 Towne, 6315
Primary area of research is in the theory and application of probabilistic
models to spatial interaction behavior. Specific interests focus on structural
analysis and axiomatic foundations of such models. Related areas of interest
are in probabilistic theories of choice behavior, spatial statistical analysis
A secondary area of research is in transportation and land use modeling.
Specific interests focus on network equilibrium models of traffic flows and
general equilibrium models of urban land use.
- A hierarchical approach to scalable
Gaussian process regression for spatial data (2021), [with Jacob
Dearmon], Journal of Spatial Econometrics, 2(1), 1-33. .
- Localized Knowledge
Spillovers: Evidence from the Spatial Clustering of R&D Labs and Patent
Citations (2020), [with Kristy Buzard, Gerald A. Carlino, Robert M.
Hunt, and Jake K. Carr], Regional Science and Urban Economics, Vol.81
Article 103490 .
- How income inequality
influenced personal decisions on disaster preparedness: A multilevel analysis
of homeowners insurance among Hurricane Maria victims in Puerto Rico
(2020), [with Chenyi Ma and Amy C. Baker], International Journal of
Disaster Risk Reduction, Volume 53 (101953) .
- Mental illness prevalence and
disparities among Hurricane Sandy survivors: a 2-year retrospective
(2020), [with Chenyi Ma and Roberta R. Iversen], Disaster medicine and
public health preparedness (2020): 1-10. .
- Cities and Space: Common Power Laws and
Spatial Fractal Structures (2020), [with Tomoya Mori and Wen-Tai Hsu],
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, DOI:
- Vulnerability of Renters
and Low-Income Households to Storm Damage: Evidence from Hurricane Maria in
Puerto Rico (2020), [with Chenyi Ma], American Journal of Public
Health 110(2): 196-202 .
- Discrete Choice Model of Food Store
Trips Using National Household Food Acquisition and Purchase Survey
(FoodAPS) (2017), [with Amy Hillier, Eliza D. Whiteman, and Benjamin W.
Chrisinger], International Journal of Environmental Research and Public
Health, 14, 1133, http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14101133.
- The Agglomeration of American R&D
Labs (2017), [with Gerald A. Carlino, Robert M. Hunt, Jake K. Carr and
Kristy Buzard], Journal of Urban Economics, Vol.101, pp. 14-26.
- Local Marginal Analysis of Spatial Data: A
Gaussian Process Regression Approach with Bayesian Model and Kernel
Averaging (2017), [with Jacob Dearmon], Spatial Econometrics,
Vol.37, ed. Batalgie, et al., pp. 297-342.
- Gaussian Process Regression and Bayesian
Model Averaging: An alternative approach to modeling spatial phenomena
(2016), [with Jacob Dearmon], Geographical Analysis, 48:82:111
- Geographic Distribution of Insufficient Sleep
across the US: A County-Level Hotspot Analysis (2015), [with Michael A.
Grandner, Nickolas Jackson, Tara Jackson, Sarah Burgard, and Charles Branas]
(Submitted to Sleep Health)
- A Discrete-Choice Approach to
Modeling Food Shopping Behavior (2015), [with Amy Hillier, Carolyn
Cannuscio, Allison Karpyn and Karen Glanz (Environment and Planning B:
Planning and Design, volume 42, pages 263–278).
- Increased alcohol use after
Hurricane Ike: The roles of perceived social cohesion and social
control (2017), [with Chenyi Ma], Social Science & Medicine, 2017,
vol. 190, issue C, 29-37 .
- Spatial Patterns and Size
Distributions of Cities (2014), [with Tomoya Mori and Wen-Tai
- A Probabilisitic Modeling
Approach to the Detection of Industrial Agglomerations (2014),
[with Tomoya Mori] Journal of
Economic Geography, 14: 547-588.
- Location-Dominant Housing Markets:
Evidence from Beijing (2013), [with Dafeng Xu] Urban Research eJournal, Vol.3,
No.9 (Jan. 31, 2014)
- The Effects of Spatial
Autoregressive Dependencies on Inference in OLS: A Geometric Approach
(2012), [with Ka Lok Lee] Journal of
Geographical Systems, 14:91-124.
- Segregation That No One Seeks
(2012), [with Ryan Muldoon and Michael Weisberg] Philosophy of Science, 79: 38-62.
- An Industrial Agglomeration Approach to Central
Place and City Size Regularities (2011), [with Tomoya Mori]
Journal of Regional Science, 51: 694-731.
- A Spatial Modeling Framework for
Analyzing Potential Earthquake Damage: an Application to Memphis
(2010), [with Richard L. Bernknopf and Anne Wein]
- Assessing Geographical Clustering of
Outpatient Psychiatric Service Utilization in Philadelphia
(2010), [with Naoru Koizumi,Aileen Rothbard, Patel Amit, and Noll Liz]
- Clustering of Unhealthy Outdoor
Advertisements around Child-Serving Institutions: A Comparison of Three Cities
(2009), [with Amy Hillier, et al.] Health & Place,
- A Spatio-Temporal Model of Housing
Prices based on Individual Sales Transactions (2009), [with P. Wu],
Journal of Geographical
- Estimation Bias in Spatial
Models with Strongly Connected Weight Matrices (2009), Geographical Analysis, 41:307-332.
Financial Service Providers and the Spatial Void Hypothesis
(2007), [with Marvin M. Smith and John Wackes.] Regional Science and Urban
Economics, 38: 205-227.
Area Clustering of Cases of Pneumococcal Bacteremia (2007), [with Joshua
Metlay et al.] submitted to Epidemiology.
Activity Centers for Urban Transportation Analysis (2006), [with Jeffrey
Casello] Journal of Urban
Planning and Development, 132:
Divergence Statistic for Industrial Location (2005), [with Tomoya
Mori and Koji Nishikimi] Review of Economics and Statistics., 87: 635-651.
Patient Flows using a Queuing Network with Blocking (2005), [with Naoru
Koizumi and Eri Kuno] Health Care Management
Science, 8: 49-61.
Scale-Sensitive Test of Attraction and Repulsion between Spatial Point
Patterns (2004), Geographical Analysis, 36:315-331.
Spatial Mixture Model of Innovation Diffusion (2004) [with
Sanyoung Song] Geographical Analysis, 36: 199-145.
- A Bayesian
Probit Model with Spatial Dependencies (2004) [with James P. LeSage]
Spatial and Spatiotemproal
Econometrics, edited by J.P. LeSage and R.K. Pace, Elsevier:
Bias in Maximum-Likelihood Estimation of
Spatial Autoregressive Processes
(2004) Spatial Econometrics and Spatial Statistics, edited by A.Getis, J.
Mur and H. Zoller, MacMillan: New York, , pp.
Mismatch, Search Effort and Urban Spatial Structure (2003).
Empirical Regularities of Spatial Economies: A Relationship between Industrial
Location and City Size (2003).
Other Selected Articles
- A Discrete-Time Stochastic Model of Job Matching, (2003) [with Y.
Zenou], Review of Economic Dynamics, 6: 54-79.
- Predicting Housing Abandonment with the Philadelphia Neighborhood
Information System”, (2002) [with A.E. Hillier, D.P. Culhane, and
C.D. Tomlin], Journal of Urban Affairs, 25(1):
- Multi-Region Contact System for Modeling STD
Epidemics, (2000) [with Richard Thomas] Statistics and Medicine,
- Optimal Search on Spatial Paths with Recall with Recall, Part II:
Computational Procedures and Examples, (2000) [with Mitchell Harwitz, et
al.] Papers in Regional Science: Journal of the RSAI,
- A Spatial Production Model for Analysis of the American Farming
Frontier, (1999) [with Robert Douglas] forthcoming in Advances in
Location Theory, Ronald Miller (ed.).
- Optimal Search on Spatial Paths with Recall with Recall, Part I:
Theoretical Foundations, (1998) [with Mitchell Harwitz, et al.]
Papers in Regional Science: Journal of the RSAI, 77:301-327.
- Gravity-Type Interactive Markov Models, (1997) [with Shang-Hsing
Hsieh] Journal of Regional Science, 37:653-708.
- Dual Labor Markets, Urban Unemployment, and Multicentric Cities,
(1997) [with Yves Zenou] Journal of Economic Theory,
- On the Foundations of Land Use Theory: Discrete versus Continuous
Populations , (1990) [with Yasushi Asami and M. Fujita] Regional
Science and Urban Economics, 20:473-508.
- General Representation Theorems for Efficient Population Behavior
(1990) [with Sven Erlander] Applied Mathematics and Computation,
- Cost-Efficiency Theory of Dispersed Network Equilibria (1988)
Environment and Planning A, 20:231-266.